Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA FE 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Lukas Neumayer		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.52
	2.23	1.59
	2.5	1.54
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.52	Watch
	2.36	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
39.3%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lukas Neumayer - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Ergi Kirkin - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Sebastian Baez	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
29.08.23	Kei Nishikori - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLW??

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