Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Umag 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Finland	22:00	MTV Urheilu 3
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV7
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.79	1.49
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.64	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.77)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
35.8%

Stanislas Wawrinka
64.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvaro Guillen Meza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Guillen Meza (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 223. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 156.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wawrinka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Luka Mikrut - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Guillen Meza A. retired ✺
02.07.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWL?L
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Elmer Moller - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Preview

Form

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