Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 1


	Elmer Moller		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.71	2.22
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
55.3%

Stanislas Wawrinka
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Elmer Moller - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stanislas Wawrinka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 117. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 153.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL

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