Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Alvaro Lopez San Martin		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.96
	1.87	1.9
	1.86	1.95
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.94	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.16)	1.9 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Lopez San Martin
50.8%

Andrea Pellegrino
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Lopez San Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvaro Lopez San Martin's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Lopez San Martin than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvaro Lopez San Martin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lopez San Martin will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lopez San Martin: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lopez San Martin in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pellegrino is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lopez San Martin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lopez San Martin to win the game is with odds 2.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Lopez San Martin
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Edoardo Lavagno	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.22	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Alex Marti Pujolras - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	0:2 ✺
11.11.22	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alvaro Lopez San Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Napoli
17.10.22	Stefano Napolitano - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Filip Misolic - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLW

Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide