Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Amaury Raynel		Maximilian Homberg

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.27
	1.39	2.68	Watch
	1.58	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amaury Raynel
61.3%

Maximilian Homberg
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amaury Raynel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amaury Raynel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Homberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amaury Raynel - Maximilian Homberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Raynel is ranked ATP: 703. Homberg is ranked ATP: 1045.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Homberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Raynel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amaury Raynel
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Marcin Andrzejczak	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Amaury Raynel - Louis Van Herck	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Louis Van Herck - Maximilian Homberg	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maximilian Homberg - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Yassine Dlimi - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maximilian Homberg - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Corentin Denolly - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLW

Amaury Raynel - Maximilian Homberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide