Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Targu Mures (Romania), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Amaury Raynel		Vladyslav Orlov

	1	2
	1.93	1.75
	1.95	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)	1.76 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amaury Raynel
47.5%

Vladyslav Orlov
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amaury Raynel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amaury Raynel's performance.

Vladyslav Orlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vladyslav Orlov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amaury Raynel than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amaury Raynel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vladyslav Orlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Raynel is ranked ATP: 688. Orlov is ranked ATP: 563.

Raynel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orlov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orlov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Orlov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amaury Raynel
ITF Tournaments
20.09.24	Oleg Prihodko - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Jasza Szajrych - Amaury Raynel	Szajrych J. retired ✺
18.09.24	Petr Brunclik - Amaury Raynel	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Amaury Raynel - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Amaury Raynel - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?WLL
- Vladyslav Orlov
ITF Tournaments
19.09.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Pietro Marino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.24	Johan Nikles - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Gabriel Donev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW

Amaury Raynel - Vladyslav Orlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide