Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Amit Vales		Fausto Tabacco

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.74
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.77	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.59)	1.76 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
47.3%

Fausto Tabacco
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fausto Tabacco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fausto Tabacco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amit Vales - Fausto Tabacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 889. Tabacco is ranked ATP: 878.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vales will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Amit Vales - Jiri Cizek	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Amit Vales - Karl Friberg	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Luca Preda - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Amit Vales - Marcus Walters	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Nav Dayal - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Nikolaos Koutroubis - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Alexander Donski - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Fausto Tabacco - Andrea de Marchi	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Marcel Zielinski - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

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