Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Amit Vales		Karl Friberg

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.03	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.63	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.31)	2.08 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
55.8%

Karl Friberg
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

Karl Friberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karl Friberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Friberg than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karl Friberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amit Vales - Karl Friberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Friberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 889. Friberg is ranked ATP: 1112.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Friberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Luca Preda - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Amit Vales - Marcus Walters	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Benjamin Pietri - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Amit Vales - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW
- Karl Friberg
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Harry Wendelken - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Karl Friberg - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Karl Friberg - Henri Haupt	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Jelle Sels - Karl Friberg	Friberg K. retired ✺
21.10.25	Karl Friberg - Nemanja Malesevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWW?L

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