Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ljubljana, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.08	1.71	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.25	1.63
	2.01	1.81	Watch
	1.97	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.15)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
45%

Laura Samsonova
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Laura Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anastasiya Soboleva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Anastasiya Soboleva - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soboleva will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Samsonova (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Laura Samson (1.73) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Laura Samson (1.80) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rain delay.

Soboleva is ranked WTA: 181., and Samsonova is ranked WTA: 118..

Soboleva is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Samsonova has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Soboleva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Soboleva has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasiya Soboleva - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Laura Samsonova - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Denisa Zoldakova	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Lea Boskovic	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mina Hodzic - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Weronika Falkowska - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.26	Laura Samsonova - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Laura Samsonova - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. Retired

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