Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Rafael Jodar		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.28	3.39	Watch
	1.31	3.27	Watch
	1.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.4 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
72.6%

Andre Ilagan
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 306. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 410.

Jodar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ilagan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Dmitry Popko - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

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