Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Andres Andrade		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.9	1.8
	1.92	1.88
	1.91	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.29)	1.78 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Andrade
47.8%

Andre Ilagan
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andres Andrade's performance.

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andre Ilagan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andres Andrade - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Andrade will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ilagan will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Andrade is ranked ATP: 262. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 248.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Ilagan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ilagan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Andrade
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Braden Shick - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Andres Andrade - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Andres Andrade - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Ammar Elamin - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Marcos Giron - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Andre Ilagan - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Colton Smith - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Liam Broady - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLL

Andres Andrade - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide