Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pirot 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pirot 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Bacaloni		Andrey Chepelev

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Andrea Bacaloni
21%

Andrey Chepelev
79%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Bacaloni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Bacaloni's form might have worsened.

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrey Chepelev's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Bacaloni is ranked ATP: 2180. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 557.

Chepelev is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chepelev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chepelev is the team to beat.

We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Bacaloni
ITF Tournaments
12.08.25	Andrea Bacaloni - Niccolo Ciavarella	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Andrea Bacaloni - Oskar Grzegorzewski	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Oskar Grzegorzewski - Andrea Bacaloni	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Hynek Barton - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Andrea Bacaloni - Nikola Jovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Ali Yazdani - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ali Yazdani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Andrea Bacaloni - Andrey Chepelev