Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pirot, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pirot 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Bautista Otegui		Andrey Chepelev

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Juan Bautista Otegui
36.8%

Andrey Chepelev
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Bautista Otegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Bautista Otegui than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Otegui is ranked ATP: 1031. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 633.

Otegui has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chepelev is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Otegui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chepelev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Chepelev will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Bautista Otegui
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Francesco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Taha Baadi - Juan Bautista Otegui	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Juan Bautista Otegui - Amine Jamji	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Massimo Giunta - Juan Bautista Otegui	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Lucio Ratti - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ali Yazdani	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
05.08.25	Andrey Chepelev - Astro Pilipovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Juan Bautista Otegui - Andrey Chepelev