Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Jelle Sels		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.81	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
50.1%

Alexey Vatutin
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Jelle Sels - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Sels is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vatutin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sels won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Jelle Sels - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
14.05.24	Jay Clarke - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Lucas Miedler - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Jelle Sels - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Tristan Lamasine - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW
- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Facundo Juarez - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Alexey Vatutin - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.11.22	Jelle Sels - Alexey Vatutin	2:0
03.12.21	Alexey Vatutin - Jelle Sels	0:2
08.11.21	Alexey Vatutin - Jelle Sels	2:0
14.07.21	Jelle Sels - Alexey Vatutin	2:0

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