Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	Andrea Collarini		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	5.5	1.12	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.86	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.71)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
31.2%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	0%	16.2%

Andrea Collarini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 31 - 83.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collarini: 71.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Collarini will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
09.10.20	Jaume Munar - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
07.10.20	Andrea Collarini - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
05.10.20	Andrea Collarini - Emilio Gomez	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Blaz Rola - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
29.09.20	Andrea Collarini - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
09.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	2:1 ✺
08.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
06.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
01.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

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