Match Info

Date: 9 October 2020, Friday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Filip Horansky

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
			Watch
	1.37	2.8
	1.4	3.02
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
67%

Filip Horansky
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Filip Horansky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Horansky than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	0%	21.6%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Horansky is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcaraz Garfia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horansky is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Horansky won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
08.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
06.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
01.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.09.20	Aleksandar Vukic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL
- Filip Horansky
ATP Challenger
08.10.20	Lorenzo Giustino - Filip Horansky	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Filip Horansky - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Filip Horansky - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
01.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Lukas Lacko - Filip Horansky	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	0:2

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