Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday


	Pedro Sousa		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.15	1.29
	3.38	1.33
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.54	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
28.6%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Pedro Sousa - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 18 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sousa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
04.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
02.10.20	Pedro Sousa - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Pedro Sousa - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
28.09.20	Pedro Sousa - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
01.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	0:2 ✺
29.09.20	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.09.20	Aleksandar Vukic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
20.04.19	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Pedro Sousa	1:2

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