Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali (Colombia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Referee: Diaz C. (Col)


	Andrea Collarini		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.44	2.6
	1.5	2.69
	1.48	2.65	Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	2.61 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
64.1%

Mateus Alves
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Andrea Collarini - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alves will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collarini: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 255. Alves is ranked ATP: 309.

Collarini in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Alves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Collarini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Collarini to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collarini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Juan Ignacio Londero - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
16.09.24	Andrea Collarini - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.09.24	Andrea Collarini - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Andrea Collarini - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Andrea Collarini - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Mateus Alves - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Mateus Alves	Tseng C. H. retired ✺
11.08.24	Mateus Alves - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.05.24	Mateus Alves - Andrea Collarini	0:2

Andrea Collarini - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide