Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.72	1.48
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
38.6%

Mateus Alves
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Gonzalo Villanueva aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Mateus Alves aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villanueva will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alves will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 414. Alves is ranked ATP: 313.

Villanueva is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Alves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villanueva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Facundo Bagnis - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Dan Martin - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Mateus Alves - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	James Duckworth - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
16.09.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	0:2

Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide