Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dublin - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Filippo Romano

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	3.15	1.30
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.00	1.36
	3.09	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.41)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
30.4%

Filippo Romano
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.

Filippo Romano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filippo Romano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filippo Romano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 231. Romano is ranked ATP: 355.

Recent performances by Guerrieri have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Romano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Romano might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Romano will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guerrieri won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Francesco Forti - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Alexander Vasilev - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW
- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Filippo Romano - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Felix Gill - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Filippo Romano - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano	2:1
08.07.24	Filippo Romano - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide