Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Andrea Lazaro Garcia		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Lazaro Garcia
57.1%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Lazaro Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Lazaro Garcia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lazaro Garcia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Steur will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lazaro Garcia is ranked WTA: 142. Steur is ranked WTA: 330.

Lazaro Garcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Steur is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Steur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lazaro Garcia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Lazaro Garcia
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Angela Fita Boluda	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Charo Esquiva Banuls	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Dalila Spiteri	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Neus Torner Sensano	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

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