Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	2.00	1.78
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	1.99	1.81
	1.99	1.80	Watch
	1.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
47.7%

Francesca Curmi
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesca Curmi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Steur is ranked WTA: 330. Curmi is ranked WTA: 229.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Steur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Steur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesca Curmi - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Charo Esquiva Banuls	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Dalila Spiteri	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Neus Torner Sensano	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Francesca Pace - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL
- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Francesca Curmi - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.26	Berfu Cengiz - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Emma Lene - Francesca Curmi	Lene E. Retired ✺
30.07.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0

Upcoming Matches