Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.19
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
55.9%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 380.

Pellegrino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zapata Miralles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jacopo Vasami	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - William Mirarchi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWW?
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Calvin Hemery - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.21	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
ATP Geneva
19.05.18	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2

Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide