Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
52.4%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Calvin Hemery - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemery (votes: 1 - 50%). Zapata Miralles (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 171. Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 388.

Recent matches Hemery is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zapata Miralles is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Marrakech
31.03.25	Federico Coria - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Calvin Hemery - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Jozef Kovalik - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Guy Den Ouden - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLW?
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Franco Agamenone - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Maxime Chazal - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Kilian Feldbausch	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
26.03.25	Filip Misolic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?LW

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