Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Naples (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Pellegrino		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.56	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.76)	2.51 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
63%

Daniel Evans
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 263. Evans is ranked ATP: 183.

Two players are playing changeable.

Pellegrino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alessandro Pecci	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Dubai
24.02.25	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Stuart Parker - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Daniel Evans - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Daniel Evans - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW

Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Evans Predictions

Preview

Form

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