Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Vitaliy Sachko

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.92
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.73)	2.84 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
67.1%

Vitaliy Sachko
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Vitaliy Sachko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitaliy Sachko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitaliy Sachko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Sachko is ranked ATP: 186.

In recent matches, Pellegrino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sachko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pellegrino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
19.07.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Pellegrino	Sachko V. walkover
23.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2

Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide