Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.15	1.32	Watch
	3.26	1.35
	3.12	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.98)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
29.4%

Jesper De Jong
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 4 - 80%). De Jong will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 255. De Jong is ranked ATP: 106.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

De Jong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Jong is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Jesper De Jong - Alex Marti Pujolras	De Jong J. retired ✺
25.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired

Andrea Pellegrino - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide