Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jaime Faria		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.54	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.56	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	2.37 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
60.5%

Marco Trungelliti
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 151. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 130.

In recent matches, Faria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trungelliti is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Faria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Faria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Benjamin Hassan - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jaime Faria - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Jaime Faria - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Elmer Moller - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Philip Sekulic - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Andrej Nedic - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Cezar Cretu - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti	2:0

Jaime Faria - Marco Trungelliti