Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Justin Engel

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.7
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
63.5%

Justin Engel
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Engel is ranked ATP: 190.

Pellegrino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Engel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.34%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francisco Comesana - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW
- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Justin Engel - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Justin Engel - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Engel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Loann Massard - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Justin Engel - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide