Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Pellegrino		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.61	2.25
	1.59	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.25
	1.60	2.20	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)	2.23 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
58.3%

Pol Martin Tiffon
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 145., and Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 215..

Both players have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Martin Tiffon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pellegrino holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Pellegrino has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.52%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Matej Dodig - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Colton Smith - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Tiago Pereira - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0

Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon