Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.36	3.34
	1.33	3.06	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	3.07 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
69.4%

Maks Kasnikowski
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 124. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 315.

Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kasnikowski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.69%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Noa Vukadin - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide