Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kosice, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
	1.41	2.7
	1.54	2.52
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.39	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.63)	2.69 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
65.3%

Franco Roncadelli
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Franco Roncadelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Franco Roncadelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maks Kasnikowski - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 313. Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 227.

Kasnikowski is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roncadelli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roncadelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kasnikowski will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kasnikowski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.53%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.47%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Noa Vukadin - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Gabriele Brancatelli - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Ivan Ivanov - Franco Roncadelli	Canceled ✺
16.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.02.23	Franco Roncadelli - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2

Maks Kasnikowski - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide