Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Andrea Pellegrino		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.23	1.65
	2.31	1.61
	2.41	1.59
	2.2	1.62
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.61)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
41.2%

Rio Noguchi
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Andrea Pellegrino - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Noguchi will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Noguchi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Daniel Cox	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide