Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HEILBRONN (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday


	Pavel Kotov		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.44	2.7
	1.49	2.71
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	2.71 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
65.5%

Andrea Pellegrino
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pavel Kotov - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
03.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Alexei Popyrin - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Ugo Humbert	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
03.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?LW?W

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