Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Andrea Picchione		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.95	1.35
	2.99	1.37
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.3)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
31.5%

Christoph Negritu
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Picchione's form might have worsened.

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christoph Negritu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Picchione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Andrea Picchione - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Picchione will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Negritu will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 333. Negritu is ranked ATP: 406.

Recent matches Picchione is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Negritu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Negritu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Negritu is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Hiroki Moriya - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Andrea Picchione - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.24	Orel Kimhi - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
24.10.24	Rocco Piatti - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Matic Kriznik - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Yan Bai - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	James McCabe - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Christoph Negritu - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Andrea Picchione - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide