Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Andrea Picchione		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.6
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.46)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
41.1%

Lorenzo Carboni
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Andrea Picchione - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Picchione will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carboni will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 465. Carboni is ranked ATP: 535.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Picchione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Picchione	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Matthew Donald - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Gabriele Bosio - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Andrea Picchione - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.08.24	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrea Picchione	Carboni L. retired

Andrea Picchione - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide