Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GENOVA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday


	Andrea Vavassori		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.79	2
	1.78	2.12
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.16)	2.02 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Vavassori
53.4%

Federico Coria
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Vavassori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Vavassori's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Vavassori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Andrea Vavassori - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vavassori will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Coria will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vavassori is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coria is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vavassori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Andrea Vavassori - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Andrea Vavassori - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Emilio Nava - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Damir Dzumhur - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
22.07.23	Andrea Vavassori - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Hady Habib - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Nino Serdarusic - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
24.08.23	Federico Coria - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.19	Andrea Vavassori - Federico Coria	2:0

Andrea Vavassori - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide