Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Federico Coria		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.74
	2.05	1.7
	2.13	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2.03	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.6)	1.73 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
45.7%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Meligeni will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meligeni: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Federico Coria - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Federico Coria - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	Federico Coria - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
11.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francisco Comesana	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
10.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Peter Bertran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW??W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.19	Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0
02.10.18	Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2

Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide