Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Andrea de Marchi		Francesco Forti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.35
	2.95	1.35
	2.97	1.41
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.39
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.56)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea de Marchi
32.1%

Francesco Forti
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea de Marchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea de Marchi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Andrea de Marchi - Francesco Forti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

de Marchi is ranked ATP: 688. Forti is ranked ATP: 363.

de Marchi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Forti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Forti is considered a favorite.

We predict that de Marchi will win today's game, with odds of 2.87.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Forti - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea de Marchi
ITF Tournaments
02.08.26	Veljko Krstic - Andrea de Marchi	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Niksa Arsic - Andrea de Marchi	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Andrea de Marchi - Marko Maksimovic	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Andrea de Marchi - Savva Rybkin	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Andrea de Marchi - Kristijan Juhas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Francesco Forti - Michele Mecarelli	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Federico Coria - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Andrea de Marchi - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide