Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Andrej Martin		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	3.90	1.21
	3.65	1.26
	3.84	1.22	Watch
	4.35	1.21
	3.74	1.23	Watch
	3.80	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.59)	1.23 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
24%

Alejandro Moro Canas
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Andrej Martin - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 387., and Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 233..

In recent outings, Martin has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Moro Canas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Moro Canas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Moro Canas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.43%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Louis Wessels - Andrej Martin	Wessels L. Retired ✺
29.09.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Andrej Martin - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Andrej Martin - Jonas Gundacker	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Andrej Martin - Manuel Plunger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LLWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Kalin Ivanovski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Sander Jong	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Bruno Pujol Navarro	Pujol Navarro B. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWW?

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