Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Andrej Martin		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.14	1.63
	2.19	1.73
			Watch
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	1.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.64)	1.67 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
44%

Alexey Vatutin
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrej Martin - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 393. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 413.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrej Martin	Giustino L. retired ✺
25.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Andrej Martin - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Andrej Martin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Martin Krumich - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WWWL
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
27.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
15.01.20	Andrej Martin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0

Andrej Martin - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide