Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Andrej Martin		Alexander Donski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.23
	1.55	2.30	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.27 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
59.2%

Alexander Donski
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Andrej Martin - Alexander Donski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Martin (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Martin (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 387. Donski is ranked ATP: 731.

Martin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Donski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Andrej Martin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Martin Krumich - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Iannis Miletich - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Alexander Donski - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Alexander Donski - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Alexander Donski - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

Andrej Martin - Alexander Donski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide