The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andrej Martin 17.2%
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 82.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
71.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
73.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.8%
0%
86.2%
Andrej Martin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win
(25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.
Martin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Martin is the unquestionable favorite.