Match Info

Date: 30 June 2021, Wednesday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.39
	3.1	1.41
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.62)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
31.8%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Uchiyama is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.21	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Oscar Otte	0:3 ✺
23.06.21	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dudi Sela	2:1 ✺
22.06.21	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.21	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ernesto Escobedo	1:2 ✺
14.06.21	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Prajnesh Gunneswaran	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWL?
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.21	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
03.06.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
31.05.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	3:1 ✺
28.05.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0

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