Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Umag, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Andrej Martin		Lorenzo Angelini

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.49	2.67
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	2.6 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
64.1%

Lorenzo Angelini
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lorenzo Angelini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Angelini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 402. Angelini is ranked ATP: 683.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Martin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Andrej Martin - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Andrej Martin - Ivan Biletic	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Andrej Martin - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Adrien Burdet - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Petr Brunclik - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Lorenzo Angelini
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Giovanni Oradini - Lorenzo Angelini	Oradini G. Retired ✺
02.07.26	Edoardo Cherie Ligniere - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Henry Best - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Lorenzo Angelini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?WWLW

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