Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrej Martin		Tiago Cacao

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Andrej Martin
62.1%

Tiago Cacao
37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Andrej Martin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tiago Cacao have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Martin is ranked ATP: 387., and Cacao is ranked ATP: 649..

In recent outings, Martin has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cacao is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cacao could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Martin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Andrej Martin - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Joao Domingues - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Andrej Martin - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Louis Wessels - Andrej Martin	Wessels L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWL?
- Tiago Cacao
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Tiago Cacao - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Olle Wallin - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Tiago Cacao - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Robin Bertrand - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL

Andrej Martin - Tiago Cacao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide