Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Andres Andrade		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.43
	2.36	1.6
	2.87	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Andrade
35.3%

Moez Echargui
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Andrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Andrade is ranked ATP: 236. Echargui is ranked ATP: 138.

Andrade is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Echargui has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Echargui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Echargui is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andrade won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Andrade
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Yibing Wu - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Natan Rodrigues - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Alberto Puello - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Moez Echargui - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Moez Echargui - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Clement Tabur - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL

Andres Andrade - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide