Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Andres Martin		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.87	1.98
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.09)	1.93 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Martin
51.8%

Yuta Shimizu
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Martin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andres Martin's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Martin will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 278. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 365.

Recent form of Martin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Andres Martin - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Andres Martin - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Andres Martin - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Andres Martin - James Watt	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Andres Martin - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Clement Tabur - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Evan Zhu - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Yuxiang Tian - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Yuta Shimizu - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0
29.05.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0

Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide