Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Andres Santamarta Roig		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.51
	3.25	1.28	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.24)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Santamarta Roig
34.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Santamarta Roig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andres Santamarta Roig's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Giustino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Santamarta Roig than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Andres Santamarta Roig - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Santamarta Roig is ranked ATP: 692. Giustino is ranked ATP: 340.

Recent performances by Santamarta Roig have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giustino is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Santamarta Roig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giustino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Santamarta Roig
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Yaroslav Demin	Demin Y. retired ✺
19.08.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Andres Santamarta Roig	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Pedro Vives Marcos - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Iannis Miletich - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Lucca Helguera Casado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?WLLL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Michiel De Krom - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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