Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MOUILLERON-LE-CAPTIF (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Luca Nardi		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.78	1.46
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.24)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
35.7%

Benjamin Bonzi
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benjamin Bonzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luca Nardi - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bonzi will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nardi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bonzi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bonzi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bonzi to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Adrien Gobat - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Luca Nardi - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Luca Nardi - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Luca Nardi - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Illya Marchenko - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Maxime Cressy	Bonzi B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWW?

Luca Nardi - Benjamin Bonzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide